REFORM are on track to win the next election, according to a bombshell new poll.
More than a third of voters said they will support Nigel Farage’s party, as reported by the Telegraph.
Figures from the Ipsos survey, of 1,180 people, revealed 34 per cent of voted for Reform, ahead of 25 per cent who were in favour of Labour.
It also emerged only 15 per cent of users elected the Conservatives.
This marks the biggest breakthrough for Reform in a poll and in response Mr Farage told The Telegraph: “This poll shows Reform can and will win the next general election.”
The news outlet estimated if the poll was taken in four years time, Farage would win more than 400 seats and a majority.
It could see the party leader win his place as the UK’s next Prime Minister.
The research also suggested Labour would lose around 270 seats, while the Conservatives would have less than 10.
Despite the stats, it is important to bare in mind opinion polls and seat numbers are very hard to correlate.
A Reform UK source said: “This is big Reform majority territory.”
Meanwhile, Gideon Skinner, senior director of UK politics at Ipsos, said: “The last year has indeed been a long time in politics, with our first voting intention poll since the election showing just how much the political landscape has transformed since then.
“Reform UK has continued to build on its success, helped by high levels of enthusiasm among its own support and among working class voters in particular, and taking votes from both Labour and especially the Conservatives, who show little sign of recovery.”
He added: “The disappointment with Labour is clear, even among those who voted for the party in 2024.
“We know from Ipsos research how difficult it has been to shift entrenched public pessimism over the cost of living, immigration, and the state of public services, and so far, Britons do not think Labour is delivering the tangible change they were hoping for in 2024.
“This is reflected in satisfaction ratings for the government and Prime Minister that – while not quite the worst Ipsos has ever seen – are well below the average we usually see coming up to a one year anniversary.
“Indeed, they look remarkably similar to the poor ratings received by Gordon Brown in 2008 after the financial crash. Labour will be hoping that the Spending Review will start to switch the narrative to a more positive one of renewal, but the challenge they face is significant.
“This research also marks a new methodological approach for Ipsos, using our online KnowledgePanel based on gold-standard random probability sampling, and other changes we have made since the general election.
“As with any individual survey it is important to remember that margins of error apply, and results should be interpreted in the round along with other sources of data.
“As always, Ipsos will continue to review this new approach, and may make further refinements in the future if necessary.”
The figures are more proof of dwindling support for Labour, with Sir Keir Starmer the least popular prime minister at this point of his term, according to Ipsos polls.
Only 19 per cent of poll voters said they were satisfied with his work, with 73 per cent dissatisfied.
The Tories may also be disappointed to learn just 29 per cent of 2024 voters are happy with Kemi Badenoch.
And both the Conservatives and Labour have lost around 50 per cent of those who originally voted for them in the general election.
Meanwhile, Reform has kept 95 per cent of their supporters on side.
The poll also compiled information on who the party voters are.
The majority were revealed to be in the lower social classes known as C2, D and E.
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