We look ahead to this Group D match at the 2025 Club World Cup with our Flamengo vs Espérance prediction and preview.
Flamengo vs Espérance Stats: The Key Insights
The Opta supercomputer predicts that Flamengo are the likeliest winners of this match, defeating ES Tunis 55.6% of the time in the pre-match simulations. Flamengo’s Giorgian de Arrascaeta has been involved in 13 goals in nine appearances across the 2025 Brazilian Série A. Espérance won the domestic double in 2024-25, winning the league and cup for the first time since 2010-11.The first ever competitive match between teams from Brazil and Tunisia will take place at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia in this 2025 FIFA Club World Cup contest.
ES Tunis, or Espérance Sportive de Tunis, won the 2024-25 Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1 and Tunisian Cup, their first league and cup double since 2010-11. They head into this tournament having won nine of their last 10 competitive games (D1), keeping eight clean sheets in this run.
Their league title this season was their 34th top-flight win overall in Tunisia, and their eighth in the last nine seasons. Not only are they the most decorated side in Tunisian football in that respect, they’ve also won more CAF Champions League titles than any other team (4) from their country.
Flamengo are also one of the most successful clubs in their respective nation. They’ve won the Brazilian football championship on seven occasions, most recently in 2020. Only Palmeiras (12) and Santos (8) have won it more often.
Their form is strong going into this tournament, too. In the Brazilian Série A, Flamengo have only lost one of their last 20 matches (W12 D7). They’ve scored 24 goals in 11 matches in the 2025 season, their most after 11 games in a campaign since scoring 25 in 2008.
A player to watch for Flamengo will be Giorgian de Arrascaeta, who has had a hand in 13 goals in just nine games in the 2025 Brazilian Série A (9 goals, 4 assists), scoring with nine of his 10 shots on target.
Experienced Algerian winger Youcef Belaïli could be a key player at the tournament for Espérance, having finished this season as their top scorer in all competitions (19 goals), while Brazilian striker Yan Sasse reached double figures in the league for them in 2024-25 (10 goals).
Flamengo vs Espérance Prediction
Flamengo are the likeliest winners of this match according to the Opta supercomputer. The Brazilian side won 55.6% of the supercomputer’s pre-game simulations – over double the amount won by Espérance (21.8%). Across the 10,000 sims, the draw was played out 22.6% of the time.
Ahead of the Group D action kicking off, Flamengo are the second likeliest side to progress to the last 16 (51.4%) behind Chelsea (93.3%), while Espérance are the group outsiders. The Tunisians made it to the knockout stage just 20.0% of the time, below LAFC (35.4%).
Flamengo vs ES Tunis Squads
FlamengoAgustín Rossi, Guillermo Varela, Léo Ortiz, Léo Pereira, Erick Pulgar, Ayrton Lucas, Luiz Araújo, Gerson, Pedro, Giorgian de Arrascaeta, Everton, Danilo, Matías Viña, Nicolás de la Cruz, Lorran, Matheus Gonçalves, Jorginho, Juninho, Matheus Cunha, Alex Sandro, Bruno Henrique, Allan, Michael, Cleiton, Wesley França, Guilherme Gomes, Dyogo Alves, Gonzalo Plata, Daniel Sales, Evertton Araújo, Pablo Lúcio, Léo Nannetti, João Victor, Wallace Yan, Joshua.Head Coach: Filipe Luís
ES TunisAmenallah Memmiche, Mohamed Ben Ali, Aziz Koudhai, Mohamed Wael Derbali, Yassine Meriah, Hamza Jelassi, Mohamed Rayane Hamrouni, Houssem Tka, Rodrigo Rodrigues, Yan Sasse, Youcef Belaïli, Haythem Dhaou, Raed Bouchniba, Onuche Ogbelu, Mohamed Amine Tougai, Achref Jabri, Mohamed Amine Ben Hamida, Abdramane Konaté, Ayman Ben Mohamed, Elias Mokwana, Mohamed Sedki Debchi, Khalil Guenichi, Chiheb Jebali, Bechir Ben Saïd.
Head Coach: Maher Kanzari
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 13,000 domestic men’s football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off, here are the Opta Power Rankings for both sides.
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Flamengo vs Espérance Prediction: 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Preview Opta Analyst.
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