Paul Skenes and the Pittsburgh Pirates face off against the Milwaukee Brewers on Friday night.
After winning the NL Rookie of the Year award last season, Paul Skenes now has his eyes set on a bigger prize as he is currently listed as the betting favorite for the Cy Young.
Skenes has the opportunity to strengthen his claim for the award on Friday night as he faces off against a Milwaukee Brewers offense who struggles with making contact at a league average rate.
With fifteen other games taking place on Friday night’s slate, there are plenty of prop bets to groom through which you can read a detailed breakdown of them below.
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Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40pm, EST)
Paul Skenes over 6.5 strikeouts: (+106) at FanDuel Sportsbook
After struggling to string together his outings earlier in the season, Paul Skenes has started to get into a groove as the Pittsburgh Pirates ace is averaging an ERA of 2.44, a WHIP of 0.941, and a FIP of 2.74.
His success stems from his ability to avoid contact while creating Whiffs as he currently averages 6.2 Strikeouts per game and less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched.
Heading into Friday, Skenes will have the opportunity to strengthen his position at the top of the NL Cy Young oddsboard by generating a high rate of Strikeouts as he faces off against a Brewers offense who ranks 23rd overall in Team Total Hits and 14th in Strikeout Rate.
For some more exposure, escalator bet Skenes Strikeout prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate totals.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets (7:10pm, EST)
Clayton Kershaw over 2.5 earned runs: (-105) at BetMGM Sportsbook
It was as poor of a debut as it could get for Clayton Kershaw as the Los Angeles Dodgers pitcher finished the contest with an ERA of 11.25 and a WHIP of 2.00. Kershaw seemingly had no control of his command as he averaged over one Hit Against and nearly one Walk per Inning Pitched.
A matchup against the New York Mets will do him no favors in his efforts of rounding back into form as he faces off against a lineup who ranks above league average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and in On Base Percentage.
Especially with his defense struggling to mask his low level of play on the mound as the Dodgers defense ranks just 16th in Defensive Efficiency.
Griffin Canning over 5.5 hits allowed: (+120) at FanDuel Sportsbook
On the other side of the field, negative regression looms large over Griffin Canning as he faces off against a Los Angeles Dodgers who also ranks near the top of the board in the same previously mentioned offensive metrics.
Especially with his back end struggling to give him the coverage he needs to help limit the amount of contact variance in his starts as the Mets defense ranks 17th overall in Fielding Percentage.
Texas Rangers vs Chicago White Sox (7:40pm, EST)
Tyler Mahle over 17.5 outs: (-175) at FanDuel Sportsbook
Tyler Mahle has quietly been very productive since the start of the regular season as the Texas Rangers pitcher is averaging an ERA of 1.47, a WHIP of 0.982, and a FIP of 3.08. Even though Mahle has struggled with generating Strikeouts, he is still capable of neutralizing offenses by forcing opposing batters into poor contact scenarios as he averages less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched.
Mahle will have the opportunity to put together a dominant performance on Friday night as he faces off against a Chicago White Sox offense who ranks 29th or worse in Contact Rate, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and in On Base Percentage. Should the total on his Outs market climb up to 18.5, then pass on this prop.
Josh Jung over 1.5 total bases: (+125) at FanDuel Sportsbook
With Sean Burke set to take the mound, positive regression looms large over the Texas Rangers offense as the White Sox pitcher has struggled with keeping opposing runners off the bases.
Expect Josh Jung to capitalize on Burke’s struggles on the mound as the Rangers batter averages over one Hit per game, a 0.284 Batting Average, and 0.786 OPS.
About the author
Kody Malstrom
Kody Malstrom is a professional sports bettor and sports betting journalist with six years of experience covering a vast majority of sports. He covers football, basketball, hockey, baseball, and the UFC in written and video form.
Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a Detroit sports fan who spends all of his Sundays in the fall rooting for the Detroit Lions and Saturdays watching as much College Football as possible. In the winter, he shifts his focus to the Detroit Red Wings and Pistons while simultaneously rooting for his North Carolina Tar Heels.
When he is not staring at betting markets, you can find Kody at the beach or snowboarding down a mountain, depending on the time of the year.
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