Bitcoin Futures Analysis Today – tradeCompass Forecast (May 23, 2025) ...Middle East

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TradeCompass Summary for Bitcoin Futures Today

Intraday Bias: Bearish below $111,383 (today’s VWAP)

Bearish Threshold: Below today’s VWAP of $111,383

Key Bullish Targets (only above $111,800): $112,000 → $112,500 → $113,320 → $117,000

At the time of this analysis, micro Bitcoin futures (MBT) are trading at $110,970, marking a 0.42% decline from the previous day’s close. From a tradeCompass perspective, this places Bitcoin in a short-term intraday bearish bias, as price is currently:

Below yesterday’s VWAP of $111,157

The confluence of multiple VWAPs and the VAL acting as overhead resistance strengthens the bearish outlook. Until we see a sustained break above $111,800 (the first upper deviation of today’s VWAP), the default plan remains to favor short setups and partial profit-taking at logical levels.

Bearish Scenario (Active below $111,383 VWAP)

$109,715 – Near the second lower VWAP deviation. A deeper target indicating stronger bearish momentum.

$106,875 – Just above the Point of Control (POC) from May 21. A natural support zone where profit-taking and buyer defense often emerge.

May 21 VAL

May 19 VAH

May 12 VAH This area could trigger significant position reshuffling and possible bounce behavior.

$112,000 – Close-by target and round number psychological level; sits just below yesterday’s VAH.

$113,320 – Matches yesterday’s third upper VWAP deviation, where profit-taking is likely to occur.

Educational Insight: VWAP and Value Area in Bitcoin Futures Trading

VWAP standard deviations help define dynamic zones of price extension or mean reversion. These bands expand during volatile sessions and contract in consolidation, helping intraday traders determine high-probability reversal or continuation points.

Value Area High (VAH): Top of the 70% value zone; acts as resistance

Value Area Low (VAL): Bottom of the value zone; typically acts as support

tradeCompass Methodology and Risk Management for Bitcoin Futures

Only one trade per direction per day: Once partial targets are hit, wait for a full reset before reversing bias.

Adapt your entry confirmation: Some traders use candle closes above/below thresholds, others wait for a momentum burst. Choose what suits your risk profile.

Clarification for Traders Using tradeCompass

If Bitcoin futures stay below VWAP and fail to reclaim it intraday, short setups toward lower partial targets remain valid.

The real value lies in reacting to price with a structured plan, not in forecasting with blind conviction.

This content is provided as decision-support, not investment advice. Bitcoin futures are volatile instruments and carry significant risk. The tradeCompass system provides a structured framework to define intraday opportunity zones — but outcomes depend on market behavior and personal trade execution.

Always trade at your own risk. Stay informed, stay patient, and trade smart.

This article was written by Itai Levitan at www.forexlive.com.

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