What are the current interest rates expectations for the major central banks?ECB's Knot: Mid-term inflation outlook too uncertain to say whether we need a June cutMore from BoE's Pill: We should not be dependent on how data turns outJapan mulls accepting US tariff reduction, not exemption - KyodoIran's Supreme Leader Khamenei: I don't think nuclear talks with the US will be successfulBoE's Pill: Vote against interest rate cut was a 'skip' within a continuing withdrawalBoJ: Some members said JGB market functionality improving as a trend due to BoJ's taperECB's Schnabel: Disinflation is on track, but new shocks are posing new challengesGermany April PPI -0.6% vs -0.3% m/m expectedRBA Governor Bullock: Did discuss 25 bps or 50 bps cutRBA Governor Bullock: Must now keep inflation down, well placed to do soRBA lowers the cash rate target to 3.85% vs 4.10% prior as widely expected
It's been another light session in terms of data and news releases. The only highlight was the RBA policy decision where the central bank cut interest rates by 25 bps as expected and lowered growth and inflation forecasts.
Elsewhere, we got some ECB speakers that are now starting to change their tone around the need for further cuts. The hawks are particularly wary of overdoing it on rate cuts and not reach their inflation target on a sustained basis.
In the American session, we have the Canadian CPI report where the Trimmed Mean Y/Y is expected at 2.9% vs. 2.8% prior and the Median Y/Y is seen at 2.9% vs. 2.9% prior. The market is pricing a 62% chance of a 25 bps cut at the upcoming meeting and a total of 47 bps of easing by year-end. A higher than expected reading could see the market price out a rate cut at the upcoming meeting.
We will also have some more Fedspeak and the focus will be on potential hawkish comments as the market is now back at pricing just two rate cuts in 2025. From now on, we will either price in more cuts or less cuts than expected and that will move markets.
This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com. Read More Details
Finally We wish PressBee provided you with enough information of ( Forexlive European FX news wrap: RBA cut rates as expected, AUD falls on 50 bps debate )
Also on site :