Tottenham are rated as favourites as they look to punch their ticket to Bilbao for the Europa League final on Thursday. Look ahead to the game at Aspmyra Stadion with our Bodø/Glimt vs Tottenham prediction and preview.
Bodø/Glimt vs Tottenham Stats: The Key Insights
The Opta supercomputer rates Tottenham as favourites with a 44.5% win probability to Bodø/Glimt’s 30.5%. Tottenham have not won back-to-back away games in major European competition since November 2013. No team has scored more home goals than Bodø/Glimt (19) in the Europa League this season.Tottenham are out to complete the job they started on home soil last week when they travel to Bodø/Glimt for the second leg of their Europa League semi-final tie.
Ange Postecoglou’s men emerged 3-1 victors at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium to give themselves a commanding lead ahead of Thursday’s return clash at Aspmyra Stadion.
Past history suggests Spurs will make the 21 May final at San Mamés. In the history of the Europa League, since it was rebranded for the 2009-10 season, there have been 92 instances of a side winning the first leg of a knockout match on home soil by a two-plus goal margin, and all but nine have progressed from the tie. All eight prior semi-finalists to have done so went on to make the final.
Spurs won their previous away fixture in the Europa League 1-0 at Eintracht Frankfurt in the quarter-finals but they have not won back-to-back away matches in major European competition since November 2013 (three in the Europa League) and have not done so in knockout stages since March 2008 (two in the UEFA Cup).
Their first-leg victory represented an eighth win in the Europa League this season. Spurs have never won nine across a single campaign in major European competition before.
Dominic Solanke has impressed in continental competition this term, registering eight goal involvements (4 goals, 4 assists), representing the most by a Spurs player in Europe since Carlos Vinícius had nine (6 goals, 3 assists) in the 2020-21 Europa League.
Bodø/Glimt have been beaten in seven of their past 12 knockout matches in Europe (W3, D2), but their three wins have all come at home, including a 2-0 victory over Lazio in the last eight.
Indeed, including qualifiers, Kjetil Knutsen’s side have won nine out of their previous 10 home European fixtures (L1), scoring two-plus goals in all but one of those matches – a 2-1 defeat to Qarabag during this season’s league phase.
Moreover, no team in this season’s competition has netted more home goals than the Norwegian outfit (19). Since the 2009-10 campaign, only Bayer Leverkusen have registered more home goals in a single season (21 in 2023-24).
Kasper Høgh could be key to their hopes of mustering a famous comeback. He has netted seven goals in the Europa League for Bodø/Glimt this season, the joint-most of any player alongside Olympiacos’ Ayoub El Kaabi and Manchester United captain Bruno Fernandes.
Høgh’s 50% shot conversion rate is the joint-highest of any player to score three-plus goals this season, while across the competition’s history, only Rangers defender James Tavernier in 2021-22 has netted as many goals in a campaign while holding a higher conversion rate (7 goals – 53.8%).
Solanke is expected to be fit for Spurs after coming off during the first leg last week, but James Maddison and Lucas Bergvall are unlikely to play again this season, while skipper Son Heung-min remains a huge doubt.
Bodø/Glimt have captain Patrick Berg and Hakon Evjen available after they missed last week’s game through suspension due to an accumulation of yellow cards, while Andreas Helmersen returns from the ban he received for a red card against Lazio in the quarter-finals.
Bodø/Glimt vs Tottenham Head-to-Head
Their first-leg encounter was the first time these sides had ever met in European competition.
Tottenham’s 3-1 victory made it five wins from five against Norwegian opposition in major European competition. They have never faced sides from a specific country more often while maintaining a 100% win-rate.
Bodø/Glimt, meanwhile, have lost all four of their matches against English opponents, including their solitary fixture on home soil against Arsenal in October 2022 (a 1-0 defeat).
Each of the other three defeats have seen the Norwegian side concede exactly three goals.
Bodø/Glimt vs Tottenham Prediction
In terms of the match itself, Tottenham are rated as favourites with a 44.5% chance of victory from the 10,000 simulations conducted by the Opta supercomputer.
Conversely, the home side have a 30.5% chance of emerging with the win on home soil, with the draw a 25.0% probability.
When it comes to the competition overall, Spurs reach the final in 91.1% of the simulations conducted. Only Man Utd (97.6%) own a higher probability of the remaining four teams.
Postecoglou’s men have a 43.2% of winning the competition, with Bodø/Glimt having just a 3.2% chance of lifting the trophy in Bilbao later this month.
Bodø/Glimt vs Tottenham Predicted Lineups
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off in Norway on Thursday, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
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Bodø/Glimt vs Tottenham Prediction Opta Analyst.
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