The party has dropped 10 percentage points in the polls since last year’s general election, and Keir Starmer’s personal ratings have nosedived.
Former Cabinet minister Louise Haigh has made a forthright intervention by calling for an economic reset which involves “ripping up our self-imposed tax rules” and “a serious programme of investment and reindustrialisation”. It is a thinly veiled and justified attack on Chancellor Rachel Reeves, whose policies are the root cause of Labour’s predicament.
square ANDREW FISHER
To stop Farage, both Badenoch and Starmer need to go
Read MoreAs Haigh lamented, “How many times have we heard on the doorstep that Labour does not like pensioners or disabled people? These are not the enemies that we should be defining ourselves against.”
Neither Haigh nor Jones are figures on Labour’s left – they both come from the centre-left – but they are echoing what many figures on the socialist wing have been saying too.
Starmer’s tin-eared response to the results – “We’re moving in the right direction, but people must feel the benefits of change. I will go further and faster to make that happen” – has further inflamed people, including those who had remained loyal.
The question now is whether the left and centre-left of the party can force a change of direction, or whether Starmer continues to drive Labour “further and faster” to oblivion.
Firstly, Labour voters are switching to the Greens and Lib Dems in far greater numbers than to Reform. A recent poll showed 43 per cent of Labour voters in 2024 might vote Green, compared to just 9 per cent tempted by Reform. If Labour wants to take on Reform it needs to stop haemorrhaging voters on its left.
square ANNE MCELVOY
Reform has what Labour used to have: momentum, and now the middle classes
Read MoreThere is a real opportunity here for the left and centre-left of Labour, mobilising members and unions too, to work together and shift the party back to where its voters expect. If Labour does not address the concerns of its own base, then the impetus for change will come from outside the Labour Party.
Deputy leader Zack Polanski has announced he will challenge Carla Denyer and Adrian Ramsay for the Green Party leadership later this year, on what he calls an “eco-populist” platform because “when Green party policies are polled, they are frequently the most-liked policies”.
If the Greens (or even a new force driven by independent left figures) can pick up that mantle with sufficient energy and persuasiveness there is no doubt that there is an opportunity for the left outside of Labour to advance – as they did at the 2024 general election.
Labour is now at a crossroads: it can rediscover its identity or it will die – and will deserve to.
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