USDCAD: a look at the chart ahead of the BoC rate decision ...Middle East

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The BoC is expected to keep rates unchanged at 2.75% today. As a reminder, the BoC cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 2.75% as expected at the last meeting amid concerns over weaker growth ahead due to the trade uncertainty and US tariffs. The central bank emphasized a cautious approach to future decisions, balancing the upward pressure on inflation against the downward pressure on weaker demand.

The market sees a 57% probability of no change today and a total of 50 bps of easing by year-end. There are good chances that the BoC cuts by 25 bps though following yesterday's softer than expected Canadian CPI figures.

USDCAD Technical Analysis - Daily Timeframe

USDCAD Technical Analysis - 4 hour Timeframe

USDCAD Technical Analysis - 1 hour Timeframe

On the 1 hour chart, we can see that the price is bouncing from a minor support zone around the 1.39 handle. On an intraday basis, buyers could split the position between the support and the counter-trendline targeting the 1.41 handle. The sellers, on the other hand, will likely pile in at every break to the downside.

This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com.

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