Current Price at Time of Analysis: 19,528
Nasdaq Futures Analysis – Tight Range & Tariff News Event in Focus
Nasdaq Futures are trading near 19,540 at the time of this analysis, slightly dipping into yesterday’s value area. This early weakness is not yet decisive — it’s unclear whether price will sustain inside the value area or reverse back upward.
Additionally, today’s session is clouded by market uncertainty around tariff headlines from former U.S. President Donald Trump and broader global risk sentiment. Importantly, this trade idea is not an attempt to trade the news. Instead, we are applying a contrarian technical approach, seeking to capitalize on how Nasdaq Futures may behave around key technical price zones, regardless of news developments.
Trade Idea – Contrarian Long Setup in Nasdaq Futures (Mostly Nasdaq Micros) Today
If Nasdaq Futures continue to decline, we are monitoring a cluster of key technical levels, where a potential bullish reversal may occur.
Entry Orders (Long): We will place three equal-weight buy orders at the following price levels:
Second Buy: 19,466
Average Entry Price (if all filled): 19,460.67
Stop Loss Options: Depending on your trading style, you may choose one of the following stop-loss levels:
Reasonable Stop: 19,394 (Approx. Risk: 67 points)
Wider Stop: 19,367 (Approx. Risk: 94 points)
Profit Targets: Following the partial profit-taking method of tradeCompass, we will exit one contract at each of the following levels:
Target 2: 19,633 (below March 28th VWAP)
Reward vs. Risk Overview – Nasdaq Futures Trade Idea Today
All three buy orders are filled.
Here is the precise reward-to-risk analysis based on the average reward per contract (for most of you, convert this example to Nasdaq micro contracts, for example 12 micro contracts, which each equal part being 4 micro contracts):
Why This tradeCompass Analysis on Nasdaq Futures Is Different Today
The trading range is tight and volatile.
Markets are awaiting tariff-related headlines and broader risk event clarity.
Instead of providing standard breakout levels, this report highlights a reaction trade setup — identifying a technical confluence area for a potential long reversal. If price does not reach this zone, there is no trade. You can then shift your focus to other trade opportunities in instruments like the S&P 500 Futures, particularly after the market digests today's tariff event.
This idea is meant to be used as an orientation map — not financial advice. Traders are encouraged to adapt it to their trading style:
Position Sizing: Consider using Micro Nasdaq Futures (MNQ) instead of full-size contracts for flexibility. For example, you can execute 10 micros instead of 1 full contract, giving you more granularity in scaling out.
Dynamic Risk Management: If price fills one or two of the buy orders and then rallies toward 19,623, you may choose to move your stop to breakeven and lock in partial profits at 19,642 (just below the March 28th VWAP). You can leave the final contract aiming for the distant target or even beyond if the market gains momentum.
The tradeCompass strategy’s foundation remains: → Key level orientation → Disciplined risk management → Partial profit-taking structure
Today’s tradeCompass trade idea for Nasdaq Futures is grounded in technical price action and key level analysis, not in reaction to news headlines. It is designed to help traders prepare for a potential high-probability reversal in the event price declines to the defined confluence zone.
This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research, use proper risk controls, and trade at your own discretion.
Stay patient, trade smart, and manage your risk.
This article was written by Itai Levitan at www.forexlive.com. Read More Details
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