An entertaining battle for Europe could be on the cards on the south coast. We look ahead to Wednesday’s Premier League clash with our Brighton vs Aston Villa prediction and preview.
Brighton vs Aston Villa Stats: The Key Insights
Brighton are the favourites on Wednesday, winning 44.5% of pre-match simulations by the Opta supercomputer. João Pedro has more goal involvements against Aston Villa (4 – 1 goal, 3 assists) than any other opponent in the Premier League. These two sides have both scored and conceded in 20 of their 29 Premier League games this season, with only Fulham’s games seeing both teams score more often (21).Brighton and Aston Villa will both hope to boost their top-four hopes in the Premier League when the two European hopefuls meet on Wednesday night.
Unai Emery’s side make the trip south to the Amex Stadium, where Brighton have won each of their last three league games. They have never won four in a row on home turf in their top-flight history.
Pervis Estupiñán curled in a wonderful free-kick before Abdukodir Khusanov‘s own goal gave Brighton a credible 2-2 draw away at Manchester City before the international break. That leaves Fabian Hürzeler’s side seventh and two points adrift of fourth-placed Chelsea heading into the midweek action.
They are also two points and two places clear of Villa, who were 1-0 winners away to Brentford last time out in the league thanks to Ollie Watkins‘ second-half finish. Having also defeated Chelsea, Villa’s two wins in three Premier League games are as many as they’d managed in nine beforehand (W2 D5 L2). A 3-0 win over Preston in the FA Cup on Sunday following two wins in the Champions League over Club Brugge hints at some well-timed late-season form.
Emery’s side will now be looking to win back-to-back away games in the Premier League for the first time since winning their first two away trips of this season against West Ham and Leicester City.
Most will expect goals on Wednesday, too. These two teams have both scored and conceded in 20 of their 29 Premier League games this season; only Fulham’s games have seen both teams score more often in the division this campaign (21).
Brighton have also scored at least two goals in each of their last five league games. However, they have never done so in six successive top-flight matches, last scoring twice in more league games in a row in any division in April 2016 in the Championship (7).
Central to that goalscoring run has been João Pedro, who has scored twice – both penalties – in his last two home Premier League games. He netted a last-gasp winner in Brighton’s most recent outing at the Amex, a 2-1 win over fellow European challengers Fulham.
Glenn Murray (twice in 2018), Pascal Groß (Aug 2018), Neal Maupay (Oct 2019), and Danny Welbeck (Oct 2024) are the only players to score in 3+ successive home appearances in the Premier League for Brighton, and the Brazilian striker will have good reason to look forward to this clash.
João Pedro has more goal involvements against Villa (4 – 1 goal, 3 assists) than any other opponent in the Premier League, although Emery’s side will come armed with their own star talisman.
Ollie Watkins has scored 13 Premier League goals this season, with 11 of those strikes either equalising (6) or giving Villa the lead in a match (5). Only Mohamed Salah (14), Erling Haaland (14), and Alexander Isak (12) have more equalising and lead-taking goals combined in the 2024-25 competition.
England striker Watkins has not been Villa’s only source of goals, though. No side in this season’s Premier League can better Villa’s 13 goals from set-pieces, excluding penalties.
Hürzeler may not be too concerned by that, however, considering only Brentford (3) and Man City (5) have conceded fewer goals from set plays in the competition this term than Brighton (6).
Ross Barkley missed Sunday’s 3-0 FA Cup quarter-final win over Preston North End, though Emery has a fully fit squad apart from that absence.
Ferdi Kadioglu, Jason Steele, Igor Julio and James Milner are long-term absentees for Brighton.
Brighton vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head
Brighton have won just one of their five Premier League home games against Villa (D2 L2), though it did come in this exact fixture last season thanks to João Pedro’s 87th-minute winner for a 1-0 victory.
The teams shared a 2-2 draw at Villa Park in the reverse fixture this term. Watkins levelled with a penalty after Simon Adingra‘s opener, before Tariq Lamptey struck late on to cancel out Morgan Rogers‘ goal.
That result left Villa winless in their last two league meetings with Brighton after previously winning five consecutive Premier League games against the Seagulls between November 2021 and September 2023.
Brighton vs Aston Villa Prediction
The Opta supercomputer leans towards a home win as Brighton triumph in 45.2% of 10,000 pre-match simulations.
Villa hold a 30.5% chance of leaving the south coast with all three points, while the draw was ranked at 24.3%.
Brighton vs Aston Villa Predicted Lineups
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
Subscribe to our football newsletter to receive exclusive weekly content. You should also follow our social accounts over on X, Instagram, TikTok and Facebook.
Brighton vs Aston Villa Prediction Opta Analyst.
Read More Details
Finally We wish PressBee provided you with enough information of ( Brighton vs Aston Villa Prediction )
Also on site :
- Senhwa Biosciences Announces Positive Clinical Data from Phase 1/Expansion Trial of Silmitasertib (CX-4945) in the Treatment of Basal Cell Carcinoma
- F-35 Map Shows Who Is Buying US Stealth Fighter Jets
- Steph Curry sends 5-word warning to NBA rivals after stunning 52-point game in Warriors’ playoffs charge