NASCAR’s best are ready for their first non-oval test of the season where the tight corners of COTA await. Will the favorites dominate the twists and turns of the new layout? Or can a longshot fight their way through the field? Let’s review the latest NASCAR Texas odds, revealing the favorites and dark horses before drivers fire up their engines and battle it out in the Lonestar State.
NASCAR Texas Odds
*Aaron E. Martinez/American-Statesman / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn ImagesAs we mentioned in our Pre-practice COTA odds article, the new track layout and introduction of new tires made this year’s Practice and Qualifying sessions as important as ever. We saw a significant amount of falloff through just the 10 to 11 laps that some drivers could run during each of their two 20-minute practice sessions. This, along with a slicker-than-expected track according to the driver of the No.20 JGR car Christopher Bell, had some teams and drivers scrambling to make on-the-fly adjustments to improve.
During the two sessions, it was quite clear that some drivers had hit the setup as we call it, and were making good lap times with others pitting after just a few laps to try and find more speed because they had no grip. The team everyone was watching early in the week, Trackhouse Racing, had four very competitive cars on Saturday. Each proved to be among the best during practice and backed up the lofty expectations.
*Jason Allen-Imagn ImagesQualifying took on a different look from past seasons with just 1-round for each qualifying group. The times of cars from Group A also being compared to the times of cars from Group B, with the COTA starting order made up of the 10 fastest regardless of group. This new feature hurt those Trackhouse drivers, as although they claimed three of the fastest times in Group A, their highest starter is Daniel Suarez, shocking to say the least, in 5th.
The top four qualifying times, were all shocking in their own way. Carson Hocevar, after a week of ridicule based on his driving style at Atlanta, will start 4th. Just in front of him in 3rd, after not showing top-end speed in practice, was Chase Elliott. Then, after an extremely disappointing practice session, it was Tyler Reddick who grabbed the pole with a lap time of 98.076. Even more surprising though, was his teammate Bubba Wallace running a 98.3 for 2nd fastest and 23XI’s third car, driven by Riley Herbst, actually topping Reddick’s speed, but having his lap disallowed for violating track limits.
*Peter Casey-Imagn ImagesAll of Saturday’s action has had a tremendous effect on the post-qualifying NASCAR Texas odds. As you’ll see below, two drivers have separated themselves from the field, while the COTA odds board behind them has gotten even muddier.
DriverOdds to WinTyler Reddick+360Shane Van Gisbergen+375Kyle Larson+700Chase Elliott+800Ross Chastain+1200Christopher Bell+1200Connor Zilisch+1400William Byron+1600Bubba Wallace+2000Daniel Suarez+2200AJ Allmendinger+2200Kyle Busch+2500Alex Bowman+2500Carson Hocevar+2500Ty Gibbs+2800Chris Buescher+4000Austin Cindric+4000Michael McDowell+5000Chase Briscoe+5500Denny Hamlin+7500Ryan Blaney+7500Joey Logano+7500Todd Gilliland+15000Zane Smith+20000Ricky Stenhouse Jr+25000Josh Berry+25000Brad Keselowski+25000Austin Dillon+25000Noah Gragson+25000Ryan Preece+30000Riley Herbst+35000Erik Jones+35000Justin Haley+50000John Hunter Nemechek+50000Cole Custer+50000Ty Dillon+50000Cody Ware+50000*Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook and current at time of publicationNASCAR Texas Odds Best Bet
Now that we’ve moved past the craziness of drafting tracks, we can get back to shopping lines that have meaning and substance. This weekend at COTA, despite the new layout and tire, we’re able to draw from a large history of races at road courses as our baseline. I’ve done some digging and found what is quite possibly my favorite COTA odds for the EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix.
Michael McDowell T10 +220 (Caesars) 1u to win 2.2u
*Peter Casey-Imagn ImagesThis line is waaay off. I already waxed poetic about McDriver in the 4for4 Discord, and now he has his best starting position at COTA where, again, outside of his car failing him last year, has finishes of 7th, 13th, and 12th in the prior three races. Expanding our data field to all road courses in the Gen7 era (2022-now), Michael has an average finish of 14.3 with Eight Top 10s over the 15 races. His T10 rate of 53% on road courses is much higher than the implied odds of just 30% this weekend. Without getting crazy, McDowell is more than capable of not only finding the Top 10 but also competing for a Top 5 result. That type of ceiling is what makes these odds too good to pass up.
*21+ and Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Responsible Gaming Resources
Read More Details
Finally We wish PressBee provided you with enough information of ( NASCAR Texas Odds & Best Bets: Saddle Up & Ride this EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix Top 10 )
Also on site :