Atlanta Fed GDPNow tracker swan dives into recessionary territory ...Middle East

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The Atlanta Fed Q1 GDP tracker has plunged to -1.5% from +2.3% in one of the steepest declines the index has ever seen.

I'd caution that it's still very early in the quarterly data cycle.

I'm confident that's due to front-running of tariffs and inventory stockpiling.

However there is also a drag from consumption, which highlights some of the uncertainty. A downside risk is from residential investment, which is looking dismal after guidance from Home Depot and the latest pending home sales number (which hit a record low).

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

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