The drop in odds had been widely anticipated by the global astronomical community, which now broadly expects the probability the asteroid will hit Earth on December 22, 2032 to fall down to zero.
Updated calculations posted by NASA late Wednesday said the odds of a direct hit had fallen to 1.5 percent.
Richard Moissl, head of the ESA’s planetary defence office, told AFP this had been expected as the “uncertainty region” where the asteroid could strike starts to “slip off” Earth.
It is not clear whether that will happen before the James Webb Space Telescope turns its powerful gaze to the asteroid next month.
The asteroid, which is known as 2024 YR4, was first detected in December.
The last time an asteroid of greater than 30 metres in size posed such a significant risk was Apophis in 2004, when it briefly had a 2.7 percent chance of striking Earth in 2029 -- a possibility later ruled out by additional observations.
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