? Date: February 20, 2025? Price at Time of Analysis: $97,195? Market Status: Open
Bitcoin futures continue to show signs of recovery after the recent pullback, with buyers gradually stepping in since February 18, preventing a deeper drop below $91,500–$89,500. A break above $98,310 would confirm bullish strength, while a failure to hold $95,550 could trigger renewed selling pressure.
? What Is Order Flow Data & Why It Matters?
Order flow is the real-time tracking of buy and sell volume, giving insights into market participation, momentum, and liquidity absorption. Unlike traditional candlestick analysis, which only provides open-high-low-close (OHLC) data, order flow reveals how traders are interacting at key price levels.
✅ Tracks Market Sentiment in Real-Time – Helps identify if buyers or sellers are dominant at specific levels.✅ Reveals Hidden Strength or Weakness – Large buy/sell imbalances can indicate absorption or exhaustion.✅ Confirms or Rejects Support/Resistance Levels – Helps differentiate between real breakouts and fake-outs.✅ Enhances Decision-Making – Institutional traders rely on order flow to execute at the best liquidity levels.
? What is Value Area & VWAP?
The Value Area represents the price range where 70% of volume was traded during a specific session. It consists of:
Value Area High (VAH): The upper boundary of the value area, acting as resistance.Point of Control (POC): The price level where the most volume was traded, acting as a magnet.Value Area Low (VAL): The lower boundary of the value area, acting as support.VWAP is a dynamic level that calculates the average price based on both volume and price action. It is often used by institutions, market makers, and algorithmic traders to assess whether an asset is overbought or oversold.
? Understanding the Prediction Score System
? 5-Day Volumetric Order Flow Analysis (Feb 12 – Feb 18, excluding Feb 19 due to market closure)
Bitcoin bounced off the February 18 low near $91,500, with buying pressure preventing deeper declines.Cumulative delta remains neutral to slightly bullish, meaning bears have not regained control despite price fluctuations.Volume increased on bullish days, hinting at potential accumulation.VWAP & POC alignment suggests that BTC is still within a re-accumulation phase.
? Short-Term Conclusion: Buyers are returning, but BTC must hold above $97,000–$97,500 for confirmation.
Prediction Score: +5 (Moderate Bullish Bias)
BTC has steadily gained ground post-Feb 18, with positive delta shifts and no major selling absorption.Cumulative delta improved, indicating buyers are willing to take control.Resistance between $97,500 and $98,310 is key to further upside.Short-Term Conclusion: BTC is holding its bullish structure, but it needs to push past $98,310 for a stronger rally.Prediction Score: +6 (Short-Term Bullish Bias)
Short-term order flow confirms bullish sentiment.Delta shows buying pressure outweighing selling pressure, but BTC still needs sustained momentum.No major signs of sellers aggressively stepping in.Short-Term Conclusion: BTC is grinding higher, favoring a test of $97,815–$98,310.✅ Total Score: +4.5 (Moderate Bullish Bias, Watching for Resistance at $97,500–$98,310)
? Key Price Levels to Watch
1️⃣ $97,815 – Friday’s VWAP (First major intraday resistance)2️⃣ $98,310 – Friday’s Value Area High (VAH) (Breakout confirmation level)3️⃣ $98,825 – Key round number resistance4️⃣ $100,000 – Psychological resistance5️⃣ $100,540 – Next key breakout level
? Bearish Support Levels (Downside Risk Zones)
? Sustained break below $95,550 would signal bearish control, opening the door for a deeper move down to $91,500–$89,500.
? Bullish Case:
BTC remains in an accumulation phase, with buyers stepping in at key support zones.Above $97,500, BTC has room to rally toward $98,310 and beyond.Confirmation comes with a strong breakout above $98,310, leading to $100,000+.Failure to hold $97,000–$97,500 increases the risk of another pullback.$95,550 is the key bearish trigger level—a sustained break could lead to a test of $91,500–$89,500.Bears remain passive for now, but selling could return if BTC shows weakness near resistance.
? Crypto Trader Considerations
? Final Outlook: Bullish momentum is developing, but BTC needs sustained buying pressure to confirm a breakout. Traders should watch $97,500–$98,310 for confirmation of direction.
All of the above is not financial advice and invest or trade crypto at your own risk only. Visit ForexLive.com for additional views.
This article was written by Itai Levitan at www.forexlive.com. Read More Details
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