MUFG: Gold, oil, and natural gas; 3 top commodities trades for 2025 ...Middle East

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Key Trades:

Rationale:Anticipated US Fed rate cuts.Increased demand driven by US policy uncertainty and geopolitical tensions.Outlook:Strong demand from financial institutions, investors, and central banks makes gold an attractive entry point.

Crude Oil (Brent Crude Spreads):

Strategy:Long May/June 2025 spreads, short May/June 2026 spreads.Rationale:Near-term upside due to low valuation and Iranian supply risks.Medium-term downside due to increased spare capacity and risks of tariff escalation.

Rationale:Anticipation of a global LNG supply surge.Prices likely to fall below lignite economics to manage storage levels.

Conclusion:

MUFG’s top trades reflect strategic positioning for key dynamics in 2025, with bullish sentiment on gold, tactical oil spreads, and bearish bets on long-dated natural gas prices.

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This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

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