Forexlive Americas FX news wrap: PCE inflation unexpectedly cools ...Middle East

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US November core PCE +2.8% y/y vs +2.9% expectedCanada retail sales for October 0.6% versus 0.7% expectedCanada's NDP says they will vote to defeat the Liberal governmentFed's Goolsbee: Nice to get inflation number that is better than expectedFed's Williams: Inflation data since Sept has been 'a touch higher'Fed's Hammack: Rate cut was a 'close call' and she favored holding policy steadyEU consumer confidence flesh for December -14.5 versus -13.7 last monthUniversity of Michigan consumer sentiment final 74.0 versus 74.0 preliminaryFed vice chair for supervision is worried that Trump will try to remove him - reportDallas Fed trimmed mean November PCE price index +1.8% vs +2.9%House speaker Johnson: We have a unified agreement among RepublicansCanada October budget balance C$-1.49 billion vs previous C$-3.17 billionRBC card spending data shows softer Canadian spending ahead of today's retail sales reportFed's Daly: The recalibration phase is now over

S&P 500 up 1.1%WTI crude up 15-cents to $69.53US 10-year yields down 4.2 bps to 4.52%Gold up $30 to $2623JPY leads, USD lags

The mood shifted sharply on Friday as stocks looked set for another rout in the pre-market only to reverse higher. The FX market followed a similar pattern, though the moves were less-dramatic. That meant US dollar selling after the dollar hit some of the best levels of the year early in Asia.

On Wednesday, the Fed comments indicated a big shift towards worries about inflation but the PCE report brought a dose of reality back to the debate as the numbers were lower than expected and not at levels so worrisome that the Fed would need to contemplate hiking.

Some of the machinations around the debt ceiling debate also underscored a Trump/Musk recalibration around fiscal hawkishness. It's not yet clear how it will shake down so keep a close eye over the weekend. The real thing to watch is how the new administration prioritizes fiscal consolidation relative to corporate tax cuts. The vast majority of the market thinks the top priority is the stock market but that could be a miscalculation.

The euro bounced impressively after touching 1.0344 while the Australian and Canadian dollars rebounded from the worst levels of the year. The pound touched below the November lows in Asia the bounced to 1.2600 before fading 25 pips below the figure.

Have a great weekend.

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

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